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笔者基于1995年~2011年世界投入产出表,对我国服务中间投入进口的类别结构与分配结构进行了解构与分析,在此基础上,就进口服务中间投入对我国总体行业、制造业及服务业的行业增长效应分别进行了实证检验。结果表明:1995年~2011年,进口服务中间投入占行业总投入的比重整体上呈现上升的趋势,其中,资本技术密集型、健康教育和公共型服务中间投入的进口占比有了大幅的攀升,而劳动密集型服务中间投入的进口占比呈先下降后上升的趋势;进口服务中间投入以及国内服务中间投入对总体行业的产出具有显著的促进作用,并且,国内服务中间投入对总体行业的产出效应比进口服务中间投入的产出效应更为显著,我国服务中间投入对行业产出增长存在明显的本地化效应;进口服务中间投入对制造业的产出效应更为明显,而国内服务中间投入对服务业的产出效应更为突出。
Based on the world input-output table from 1995 to 2011, the author deconstruct and analyze the category structure and distribution structure of China’s import-import services. Based on this, the author puts forward some suggestions on the general industry, manufacturing industry and service The industry growth effect of the industry were tested empirically. The results show that from 1995 to 2011, the proportion of import service input in the total investment in the industry shows a rising trend as a whole. Among them, capital-intensive technology, import proportion of health education and public service inputs have risen sharply , While the import share of labor-intensive services input dropped first and then increased; the intermediate input of service imports and the intermediate input of domestic service have a significant promotion effect on the output of the overall industry, and the domestic service inputs into the overall industry The output effect is more significant than the output effect of the middle input of service import. There is a significant localization effect on the output growth of the industry in the middle of service input in our country; the output effect of the middle input service on the manufacturing industry is more obvious, The input effect of service input to service industry is more prominent.