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从去年年初至今,油价由50美元/桶狂飚到145美元/桶,而替代能源的发展又带来了粮价的上涨,这些给全球特别是新兴国家带来了巨大的通涨压力和经济硬着陆风险,油价何时触顶将成为影响到未来全球经济走势的重大问题,本文试图通过历史油价触顶的经验,对这一问题做一探讨。
Since the beginning of last year, the price of oil has risen from 50 U.S. dollars / barrel to 145 U.S. dollars / barrel. The development of alternative energy has brought about an increase in food prices, which have brought tremendous inflation pressure and economic growth to the rest of the world, especially to emerging countries Hard landing risk, when oil prices peak will affect future global economic trends, a major issue, this article attempts to experience the historical oil price peak, to make a discussion on this issue.