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研究目标:测算全国各省份劳动力、资本错配程度和要素错配造成的产出缺口;探究要素错配对收入分配格局的影响。研究方法:从劳动力配置和人力资本配置角度分别构建二元经济测算模型。研究发现:大部分省份的要素错配程度有逐年下降的趋势,但个别省份的要素错配程度在金融危机后跳跃式上升,导致产出缺口短期的放大现象明显;2010年要素错配解释了全国省份间以及农业部门内部收入差距的15.7%和25.1%;要素错配并不改变实际资本报酬占比的倒U形结构,但推迟了倒U型结构的转换界点大概4年。研究创新:将劳动力和资本放在同一框架下多纬度测算要素错配程度;将要素错配的研究扩展到分配格局领域。研究价值:提出新的要素错配测算方法,给出要素错配与收入分配格局两者的作用机制。
Research Objectives: To measure the output gap caused by labor force, capital mismatch and factor mismatch in all provinces in the country; and to explore the impact of factors mismatch on income distribution pattern. Research Methods: To construct the binary economic estimation model separately from the perspective of labor force allocation and human capital allocation. The study finds that the degree of factor mismatch in most provinces tends to decline year by year, but the degree of factor mismatch in individual provinces rose abruptly after the financial crisis, resulting in obvious short-term amplification of output gap. The factor mismatch in 2010 explained 15.7% and 25.1% of the income gap among the provinces and within the agricultural sector. The factor mismatch did not change the inverted U-shaped structure of the proportion of actual capital remuneration, but postponed the transition of the inverted U-shaped structure for about 4 years. Research and innovation: Putting labor force and capital in the same framework, the degree of mismatch of multi-latitude measurement elements; Extending the research on factor mismatch to the field of allocation pattern. Research value: Propose a new method for calculating the mismatch of factors, and give the mechanism of the interaction between factor mismatch and income distribution.