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哈萨克斯坦各类自然灾害中地震及其伴生的次生地质作用是最危险的一种。国家对地震的综合防御十分重视,90年代以来,地震研究所开展了地壳及上地幔结构特征、震源区时空分布规律的研究;编制了地球物理、流体地球动力学、形变和地震活动性前兆形成的物理数学模型;研究出用各种观测资料进行超长期、长期、中期和短期地震预报的方法及相应的软件系统。地震是现今地球动力过程的一种表现形式,产生地震的必要条件是应力积累超过构造非均匀性之间的内聚力的强度,应力的积累和松弛伴随着构造和物质的变化,它表现在岩石物理性质、地球物理场及其它场的变化。观测微小地震活动的发展、物理化学场的变化就可以预测未来地震的地点,并估计震源区的大小。实践证明,前兆机理和预测地震方法的基础研究在哈萨克斯坦具有广阔的发展前景。
The most dangerous earthquake is the most dangerous one in all types of natural disasters in Kazakhstan. The state attaches great importance to the comprehensive defense of earthquakes. Since the 1990s, the Institute of Earthquake Research has carried out studies on the structural characteristics of the crust and the upper mantle and the temporal and spatial distribution of source regions, and has prepared geophysics, fluid geodynamics, deformation and seismicity precursors The mathematical model of the earthquake; and the method and the corresponding software system for predicting the long-term, long-term, medium-term and short-term earthquakes with various observation data are developed. Earthquake is a manifestation of today’s earth’s dynamic process. The necessary conditions for earthquakes to occur are the strength of cohesion between stress accumulation and structural non-uniformity. The accumulation and relaxation of stress are accompanied by structural and material changes. Nature, geophysical field and other changes in the field. Observing the development of microscopic earthquakes, changes in the physicochemical field can predict the location of future earthquakes and estimate the size of the focal area. Practice has proved that the basic research on precursory mechanism and earthquake prediction method has broad prospects for development in Kazakhstan.