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目的评估2015年7月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果根据近期传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,结合既往流行特点分析,预计7月全国总报告事件数和病例数较6月将有所减少。中东呼吸综合征及埃博拉出血热输入我国的风险依然存在,但发生大规模扩散的可能性极低。随着盛夏季节来临,登革热等虫媒传染病及霍乱、伤寒副伤寒等肠道传染病的流行强度会逐渐增强,部分省份可能出现本地暴发疫情。此外,高温中暑事件将有所增加,夏季饮食特征也将带来食物中毒/毒蕈中毒增多现象。结论预计2015年7月全国总报告事件数和病例数较6月将有所减少;需重点关注登革热、伤寒副伤寒、霍乱、埃博拉出血热、中东呼吸综合征、高温中暑和食物中毒对我国的影响。
Objective To assess the public health emergencies at home and abroad in July 2015 and the need to pay attention to the risks of infectious diseases. Methods According to the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and the monitoring of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was adopted to invite experts from provincial (municipalities and autonomous regions) CDC to participate in the assessment through video conferencing. Results Based on recent monitoring data of infectious diseases and public health emergencies, combined with the analysis of past epidemiological characteristics, it is estimated that the number of nationally reported incidents and cases in July will be less than in June. Middle East respiratory syndrome and Ebola haemorrhagic fever into our country still exist risks, but the possibility of large-scale proliferation is extremely low. With the advent of summer season, the prevalence of intestinal infectious diseases such as dengue fever and cholera, typhoid and typhoid fever will gradually increase, and some provinces may have local outbreaks. In addition, high temperature heat stroke events will increase, summer diet characteristics will also lead to food poisoning / poisoning mushroom poisoning phenomenon. Conclusions The total number of reported cases and cases in the nation in July 2015 is expected to decline from June, with a focus on dengue fever, typhoid and paratyphoid fever, cholera, Ebola haemorrhagic fever, Middle East respiratory syndrome, heat stroke and food poisoning The impact of my country.