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本文从分析我国人口与资源之间的矛盾入手,揭示了我国经济运行中经济增长速度与通货膨胀压力之间的内在必然联系.现阶段我国居民人均国民生产总值的50%左右用于消费需求;消费需求的50%以上用于食品需求.由于受资源约束,人均食品供给并不能与人均国民生产总值同步增长.这种食品需求与食品供给在结构上的不对称性导致食品价格随经济发展而不断上涨.食品价格上涨一方面带动工资成本上升,另一方面引导农业以更高的成本增加农产品生产.这些因素的综合作用致使物价总水平随着经济的发展而不断上涨.作者在分析我国现实经济情况后指出:我国消费系数为0.5,恩格尔系数大于0.5,人均粮食占有量所对应的食品需求增长率与食品价格指数之比为1∶0.9,食品价格指数与零售物价指数之比为1∶0.8.这些参数对今后制定宏观经济政策具有一定的参考价值.
Starting with the analysis of the contradiction between population and resources in our country, this article reveals the inevitable connection between the rate of economic growth and the inflationary pressure in our economy.At present, about 50% of China’s GNI per capita is spent on consumer demand ; More than 50% of consumer demand for food demand.Because of resource constraints, per capita food supply and can not be synchronized with the per capita GNP growth.This structural asymmetry in food demand and food supply lead to food prices with the economy Development and rising.On the one hand, the rise in food prices led to rising wage costs, on the other hand guide the agriculture to increase agricultural production at higher cost.These combined effects of the overall price level as the economy continues to rise.In the analysis After the reality of our economy, we pointed out that the consumption coefficient of China is 0.5 and the Engel coefficient is greater than 0.5. The ratio of food demand growth per capita to food price index is 1: 0.9. The ratio of food price index to retail price index is 1: 0.8. These parameters have certain reference value for the future formulation of macroeconomic policies.