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上半年我国经济呈现企稳回升态势。展望三季度,宏观经济政策保持稳定,国民经济将继续稳步回升,消费持续旺盛,投资高位略降,外部需求降幅趋缓,工业生产形势继续好转,预计GDP将增长8.5%左右。由于当前经济发展正处于企稳回升的关键时期,社会上对于货币政策调整的时机、通货膨胀是否出现、下一轮投资接力棒如何传递等焦点问题的看法出现分歧。因此,必须进一步统一认识,力争科学、准确地把握形势,使宏观调控向着更加有利于保持平稳增长、实现结构改善的目标发展。
In the first half of this year, China’s economy showed a steady rise. Looking forward to the third quarter, the macroeconomic policies will remain stable. The national economy will continue to rise steadily. Consumption will continue to rise. Investment will be slightly lower. External demand will slow down. Industrial production will continue to improve. GDP is expected to grow by 8.5%. Due to the current economic development is at a critical period of stabilization and recovery, there are disagreements in society regarding the timing of the adjustment of monetary policy, whether inflation occurs, and how the next round of investment baton will be transmitted. Therefore, it is necessary to further unify our understanding and strive to grasp the situation scientifically and accurately so that macroeconomic regulation and control will move toward the goal of being more conducive to maintaining steady growth and achieving structural improvements.