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人类社会的发展和生产规模的不断扩大,水资源危机随之显现,加强水资源评价,提高水资源利用效率成为必然。但是,由于评价模型的不确定性,数据边界的不确定性等因素影响,目前的地下水资源评价存在一定缺陷。本文通过大量文献检索和调查研究;地下水控制方程及其数值解法的研究;流量变化控制方程;水位变化控制方程及其迭代求解方法的验证;水位变化控制方程及其迭代求解方法的验证等5个方面,对地下水预测的新方法进行了探索。最后,又从建立水位变化模型、减少测值的不确定性、成果与结论3个方面对新方法的应用进行了论述。
The development of human society and the continuous expansion of production scale have brought about the crisis of water resources. It is inevitable to strengthen the evaluation of water resources and improve the efficiency of water resources utilization. However, due to the uncertainty of the evaluation model and the uncertainty of the data boundary, the current groundwater resources assessment has some defects. This article through a large number of literature retrieval and investigation; groundwater control equation and its numerical solution method; flow control equation; water level change control equation and its iterative solution method validation; water level change control equation and its iterative solution method validation In the area, a new method of groundwater prediction has been explored. Finally, the application of the new method is discussed from the following three aspects: establishing a water level change model, reducing the uncertainty of measurement, results and conclusions.