论文部分内容阅读
由于2004年国内小麦价格上涨和棉花价格下跌,加之中央一系列惠农政策实施,提高了农民种粮积极性, 预测2005／06年度中国全年小麦播种面积3．4亿亩,增幅5．2％。2005／06年度因气候和灾情因素预测全年小麦单产 280kg／亩,比去年略减。预测2005／06年度冬小麦产量9030万t,比上年增产约5％,全年小麦总产9580万t,比去年增产4．89％。预测2005／06年度国内小麦消费总量为1．0335亿t。食用消费约9100万t,其中城市居民1900万t,占 20．9％,农村居民7200万t,占79．1％;工业用粮约300万t;饲料用粮有较大减少,估计200万t左右;种子用量因播种面积增加,预测比上年度有所增加,约435万t。损耗量稳定在300万t。预测2005／06年度中国小麦进口量为 250万t,小麦出口量为50万t。2005／06年度国内小麦产量依然产不足需,生产和消费缺口为755万t,仍需消耗库存555万t。
Due to the rising domestic wheat prices and the falling cotton prices in 2004 and the implementation of a series of preferential agricultural policies by the central government, farmers’ enthusiasm for growing grain has been raised. The 2005/06 wheat planting area in China is forecast to be 340 million mu, an increase of 5.2% . In 2005/06, annual wheat yield was forecast at 280kg / mu due to climatic and disaster factors, slightly down from last year. The output of winter wheat in 2005/06 is forecast to reach 90.3 million tons, an increase of about 5% over the previous year. The total annual output of wheat will reach 95.8 million tons, an increase of 4.89% over the previous year. The total domestic wheat consumption forecast for 2005/06 is 103.35 million tons. Consumption of about 91 million t, of which 19 million urban residents t, accounting for 20.9%, rural residents 72 million t, accounting for 79.1%; industrial use of about 300 million t; feed with a larger reduction in food, an estimated 200 About ten thousand tons; the amount of seeds increased due to sown area, the forecast increase over the previous year, about 4.35 million t. Losses were stable at 3 million t. China is expected to import 2.5 million tons of wheat in 2005/06 and 500,000 tons of wheat. Domestic 2005-06 wheat production is still insufficient, with a production and consumption gap of 7.55 million tons and a total inventory of 5.55 million tons still to be consumed.