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建立了核事故医学应急装备使用保障费用分析模型,且通过GM(1,1)灰色预测模型对核事故医学应急装备使用保障费用进行预测分析,解决了传统方法因数据缺乏而预测精度不足的问题。并用实际数据对预测模型进行了精度验证,结果表明该方法具有很好的预测精度,可用于核事故医学应急装备使用保障费用的预测和估算,为相关部门经费分配提供决策支持,对加强核事故医学应急装备全系统、全寿命的经济技术可行性论证,提高决策水平、计划的科学性和经费整体使用效益都具有重要意义.
The analysis model of medical emergency equipment usage guarantee cost for nuclear accident was set up, and the prediction and analysis of the medical emergency equipment usage guarantee cost for nuclear accident was carried out by GM (1,1) gray prediction model to solve the problem that the traditional method was lack of accuracy and the prediction accuracy was insufficient . The results show that this method has a good prediction accuracy and can be used to predict and estimate the cost of using medical emergency equipment in nuclear accidents and to provide decision support for the allocation of funds to related departments. Medical emergency equipment system-wide, life-long feasibility of economic and technological feasibility studies to improve the level of decision-making, scientific planning and the overall effectiveness of the use of funds are of great significance.