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对９０ 年代的气象资料分析表明，江苏各麦区呈暖冬态势，冬季日平均温度与常年比较，１０ 年中有９ 年偏暖，累计日平均温度增加３０ ～２４４ ℃。暖冬等气象导致小麦生育进程加快，其中，一般暖冬年份增加０１ ～１２ 张叶片，特殊暖冬年份增加１５ ～２５ 张叶片。暖冬对不同区域、品种、播期的影响不同。三个特殊暖冬年中，１９９４ ～１９９５ 年度为平产年份，１９９７ ～１９９８ 年度为特大减产年份，１９９８ ～１９９９ 年度为大增产年份。并明确了湿害是影响江苏麦作生产的主要障碍因素，中后期气候条件对麦作产量至关重要。提出了通过适期播种、推广应用综合抗旱抗湿及灾后恢复等措施，争取麦作高产稳产。
The analysis of the meteorological data of the 1990s shows that the wheat growing areas in Jiangsu Province are warm in winter, and the average daily temperature in winter is 9 years warm in 10 years and the accumulated daily average temperature is increased by 30 ~ 244 ℃. Warm weather and other weather led to the acceleration of wheat growth process, in which the general warm winter years increased 0 1 1 2 leaves, special warm winter year increased 1 5 2 5 leaves. Warm winter on different regions, varieties, sowing period of different effects. The three special warm winter years, 1994-1995 for the production of the year, 1997-1998 for the large reduction in production, 1998-1999 for the large increase in production. And it is clear that wet damage is the main obstacle factor affecting the wheat production in Jiangsu Province. The climatic conditions in the middle and later stages are crucial to the production of wheat crop. Proposed through the appropriate sowing, popularization and application of comprehensive drought and moisture and disaster recovery measures for high-yield wheat crop.