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为了研究弹药供应链系统的稳定性,基于弹药供应链系统的组成进行分析,采用系统动力学方法建立了二阶弹药供应链系统的稳定性模型,并利用系统动力学专用软件Vensim对该模型进行数学建模与仿真实验,得到系统稳定、出现震荡及溢出现象时相关参数的取值范围。仿真结果表明:影响弹药供应链系统稳定性的因素是弹药库订货决策的参数,与外部需求无关。
In order to study the stability of the ammunition supply chain system, based on the analysis of the composition of the ammunition supply chain system, the stability model of the second-order ammunition supply chain system was established by using the system dynamics method. The model was carried out by using the system dynamics specific software Vensim Mathematical modeling and simulation experiments, get the system stability, the occurrence of shock and spillover when the relevant parameters range. The simulation results show that the factors influencing the stability of the ammunition supply chain system are the parameters of the order decision of the ammunition storehouse, which has nothing to do with the external demand.