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根据滑坡演化的一般规律并考虑到外动力因素对斜坡变形破坏的影响，提出了一种蠕变与样条的联合模型。通过新滩滑坡和链子崖危岩体的实例分析，采用蠕变－样条联合模型进行滑坡位移数据分析和临滑时间预报。初步研究表明，联合模型与其它模型相比具有使用方便和精度高等优点
According to the general law of landslide evolution and considering the influence of external dynamic factors on the slope deformation and failure, a joint model of creep and spline is proposed. Based on the case study of the Xintan landslide and the Lianziya dangerous rock mass, the creep-spline joint model is used to analyze the landslide displacement data and forecast the frost-slip time. Preliminary studies have shown that the joint model has advantages of easy to use and high precision compared with other models