论文部分内容阅读
中国石油供需失衡已是一个不争的事实——1999年中国石油净进口4000万吨。 石油成为中国过剩经济时代的短缺品。失衡的结果会是什么? 站在新世纪的门槛上,石油面临选择与被选择——石油从哪里来?是不是需要发展石油的替代能源?首先需要确定选择的标准。 中国经济加速融入全球化的市场,我们需要重新审视石油的战略定位。在世纪之交的歌舞升平中,我们有必要重温关于石油的经典描述——“工业的血液”。石油已深深地渗透到国民经济的每一根血脉,“贫血症”可能打乱相关产业链的良性循环。所以,石化、汽车、铁路运输等行业,都与石油的命运休戚相关;煤炭、水力、核电等能源产业也与石油兴衰相连。就石油而言,我们在努力创造商业价值的同时,须臾不可忘记的是国家利益和经济安全。 当然,事情并不像想像那么好,也不像想像那么坏,关键要看清隐患和优势。中国有能力解决好12亿人的吃饭问题,也应该有能力解决好中国的能源供应问题。 保障中国21世纪油气供应,多元化的解决之道当是首选。充足而稳定的油气供应,不仅仅取决于资源的禀赋、资本手段的运用、国际市场的开拓、科技进步的贡献;更取决于一种包括资源来源、贸易方式、运输方式的多元化战略,尤其是建立利益主体的多元化,形成安全的共生体系。 自给自足的时代成
The imbalance between supply and demand of oil in China is an indisputable fact - in 1999 China’s net import of 40 million tons of oil. Oil has become a shortage of goods in China’s surplus economy. What are the consequences of an imbalance? Standing on the threshold of the new century, oil is faced with choices and choices - where do the oil come from? Is there a need to develop alternative sources of oil? The criteria for choice must first be determined. To accelerate the integration of China’s economy into the globalized market, we need to re-examine the strategic positioning of oil. At the turn of the century, we need to revisit the classic description of oil - “the blood of industry.” Oil has deeply penetrated every vein of the national economy. “Anemia” may disrupt the virtuous circle of the related industry chain. Therefore, petrochemicals, automobiles, rail transport and other industries, are closely related to the fate of oil; coal, water, nuclear and other energy industries are also linked with the rise and fall of oil. In the case of oil, while we are striving to create business value, we must not forget the interests of our country and economic security. Of course, things are not as good as imagined, nor as bad as imagined, the key to see the hidden dangers and advantages. China has the ability to solve the problem of eating 1.2 billion people and should also be able to solve China’s energy supply problem. To protect China’s oil and gas supply in the 21st century, a diversified solution should be the first choice. Sufficient and stable supply of oil and gas depends not only on the endowment of resources, the use of capital instruments, the opening up of international markets and the contribution of scientific and technological progress but also on a diversified strategy that includes sources of resources, modes of trade and modes of transport, especially Is to establish the diversification of stakeholders, the formation of a safe symbiotic system. Self-sufficient era