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美国的国际角色在未来15至20年内如何演变、美国是否能够与新的伙伴国合作重塑国际体系,尚难确定。最可能发生的情形是美国成为“平等的伙伴中的第一名”。美国可能失去霸权地位,会带来的结果是多个大国互相制衡的局面美国最高级别的情报机构国家情报委员会(National Intelligence Council,简称NIC)在2012年末发表了每四年一次的二十年后世界局势展望报告,名
It is difficult to determine whether the U.S. international role will evolve in the next 15 to 20 years and whether the United States can work with new partners to reshape the international system. The most likely scenario is that the United States has become “the # 1” equal partner. " The United States may lose its hegemony and the result will be a situation where the major powers will check and balance each other. The National Intelligence Council (NIC), the highest-level intelligence agency in the United States, published a quadrennial two-decade World situation outlook report, name