APPRQACH TO PREDICTION OF OUTBREAK QUANTITYAND PERIOD FOR FIRST-GENERATION ARMYWORMWITH SEA TEMPERAT

• 作 者: 赵圣菊
• 出 处: Acta Oceanologica Sinica
• 发表日期: 1984年03期
• 关键词: outbreak preliminary predictor FIRST desirable weather fitting winter prevalent

So far, no literature has ever reported the prediction of plant diseases and insects outbreak by using sea surface temperature. This article aims at setting up a long-range prediction model of the outbreak quantity and period for the first-generation armyworm by using the surface water temperature of the North Pacific as predictor. Our preliminary study has yielded a desirable result, which adds a new approach of modelling in the prediction of armyworm outbreak.

So far, no literature has ever reported the prediction of plant diseases and insects outbreak by using sea surface temperature. This article aims at setting up a long-range prediction model of the outbreak quantity and period for the first-generation army worm by using the surface water temperature of the North Pacific as predictor. Our preliminary study has yielded a desirable result, which adds a new approach of modeling in the prediction of armyworm outbreak.