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最近,美国《纽约时报》刊出文章,题目为《中国经济:大灾难即将降临?》。其理由是美国《外交杂志》认为的,中国经济将发生大灾难的五个迹象已经显现。如“企业正减少贷款、制造业产出停滞不前、利率出人意外地下调、进口停止增长、GDP增长预期被下调”等。在这些媒体看来,如果这些迹象显现,那么中国经济大灾难就将降临了。可以说,从最近公布数据来看,上述迹象已经在中国发生,甚至于不仅在发生,而且所表现出来的问题可能会比《纽约时报》列举的现象更为严重。比如央行突然减息、企业贷款需求疲弱、GDP增长“破8”、一些行业产能严重过剩等。但是这些经济现象的出现是否意味着中国经济即将大灾难降临,理据是不足的。而且问题的指向也有误入歧
Recently, the United States published an article in The New York Times titled “China’s Economy: Catastrophe Coming Soon?” The reason is that five signs that the U.S. economy will undergo a catastrophe have come to the fore in the view of the U.S. “diplomatic magazine.” Such as “enterprises are reducing loans, manufacturing output stagnated, unexpectedly cut interest rates, import growth stopped, GDP growth is expected to be cut ” and so on. In the opinion of these media, if these signs appear, then China’s economic catastrophe will come. It can be said that according to the latest published data, the above signs have occurred in China, not only in the event of occurrence, but also the problems shown may be worse than those listed in the New York Times. Such as a sudden interest rate cut by the central bank, weak demand for corporate loans, GDP growth, “broken 8”, a serious excess capacity in some industries. However, whether these economic phenomena mean that the Chinese economy will soon come to a disaster has no sufficient basis. And the point of the question is also misguided