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最新一期英国《经济学家》杂志指出,最近,美元走软,股市高估,消费增长过快,这些因素都显示美国经济存在“硬着陆”危险。 美国联邦储备委员会8月24日再度将联邦基金利率和贴现率分别提高0.25个百分点,以此抑制通货膨胀率上扬。市场人士预测,下半年美联储再次提高利率的可能性不大。然而《经济学家》认为,美联储升息的力度与速度都不够,一旦美元资产失去魅力,美国经济就有“硬着陆”的危险。也就是说,美经济可能由目前高增长的繁荣局面直线掉到低增长,甚至陷于停滞。 上周,美国股市无视美联储的提息决定,道—琼斯30种工业股票平均价格
The latest issue of the British “Economist” magazine pointed out that the recent weakening of the U.S. dollar, overvaluation of the stock market and excessive growth of consumption have all shown the danger of a “hard landing” in the U.S. economy. On August 24, the Federal Reserve again raised the federal funds rate and the discount rate by 0.25 percentage points respectively, thereby curbing inflation. Market participants predict that in the second half the Fed is unlikely to raise interest rates again. However, “economists” think that the Fed’s rate hikes are not enough and that the U.S. economy is in danger of a “hard landing” once its assets lose its charm. In other words, the U.S. economy may plunge into low growth or even stagnate from the current boom of high growth. Last week, the U.S. stock market ignored the decision of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The average price of 30 Dow Jones industrial stocks