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一、导言新疆地处欧亚大陆的腹地,是沟通中亚、南亚、西亚的咽喉,是我国多民族聚居的边陲大省,拥有160万平方公里土地,同时也是我国能源供应的战略重地,拥有丰富的石油、天然气、煤炭等自然资源。新疆的经济发展与全国的经济发展紧密联系在一起,在全国经济走势有所放缓的形式下有望成为新的经济增长点。因此,探讨制约新疆经济发展的因素,努力实现新疆经济的跨越式发展对于新疆乃至全国的长治久安均具有重要的意义。经济周期波动问题是现代宏观经济学研究的重点领域,国内学者对相关问题的研究显示,改革开放以来我国经济呈现出明显的一般性周期特征,同时还表现出区域经济发展不平衡性的问题越来越突出,而国内经济发展中的周期性又加剧了区域经济发展的不平衡性。尤
I. INTRODUCTION Xinjiang is located in the hinterland of Eurasia, which is the throat of Central Asia, South Asia and West Asia. It is a large border province where many ethnic groups live in our country. With a total area of 1.6 million square kilometers, Xinjiang is also strategically located in China’s energy supply. Rich in natural resources such as oil, natural gas and coal. Xinjiang’s economic development is closely linked with the country’s economic development and is expected to become a new economic growth point in the form of a slowdown in the national economic trend. Therefore, exploring factors that constrain the economic development in Xinjiang and making great efforts to realize the leap-forward development of Xinjiang’s economy are of great significance to the long-term peace and stability in Xinjiang and the whole country. The problem of economic cycle fluctuation is the key area of modern macroeconomic research. The domestic scholars’ research on related issues shows that since the reform and opening up, China’s economy has shown obvious general periodic characteristics. At the same time, it has also shown that the problem of regional economic development is unbalanced The more prominent, while the cyclical nature of the domestic economic development has exacerbated the imbalance in regional economic development. especially