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现在,人们所知道的80%-90%的新闻都是通过报纸或者杂志,5年之后,大概这个数字要降到50%。很难预测,20年后会怎么样。但是如果那时候人们还看报纸,真是令人惊讶。那时候还会有报纸,是电子形式,而不是纸质形式了。总会有一小部分入坚守报纸,但是会越来越少,以至于在经济上将变得没有意义。20年后看报纸令人惊讶在2007年的时候,美国纸质媒体非常健康。后来开始了衰落。这有两个原因,一是在这段时间里,不断涌现的新技术令人们越来越远离纸质媒体,比如智能手机、平板电脑等。第二个原因是,如果经济基本面好的话,即使纸质媒体有些衰落,也仍然能够运行得很好,但是2008年经济危机的到来,事情就完全变了。现在中国或者印度的纸质媒体,大
Now that 80% -90% of the news people know is through the newspapers or magazines, after five years, this figure is probably down to 50%. It’s hard to predict what will happen in 20 years. But it was surprising if people read newspapers at that time. There will be newspapers at that time, in electronic form, not in paper form. There is always a small part that sticks to the newspaper, but it will become less and less so that it will become economically insignificant. Reading newspapers after 20 years Surprisingly, in 2007, the paper media in the United States was very healthy. Then began a decline. There are two reasons for this. One is that new technologies are constantly emerging from the paper media such as smartphones, tablets and the like during this period of time. The second reason is that if the economic fundamentals are good, the paper media will still be able to run well even though some decline has taken place. However, the events of the 2008 economic crisis have completely changed. Now China or India’s paper media, big