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近年来,随着中国经济迅速发展,对原油的需求量不断加大,由于国内原油供给不足,中国原油进口数量持续增长,进口规模巨大,对外依存度逐年攀升,面临较大安全隐患。以1990~2013年相关数据为样本,采用OLS多元回归方法对影响中国原油进口贸易的因素进行实证分析。结果表明:世界原油产量、中国国内生产总值以及中国煤炭消费量是影响中国原油进口量的主要因素。据此,提出了相关建议。
In recent years, with the rapid development of China’s economy, the demand for crude oil has been steadily increasing. Due to the shortage of domestic crude oil supply, the volume of China’s crude oil imports has continued to grow, the scale of imports has been huge, and the degree of foreign dependence has risen year by year. This poses a big security risk. Taking the relevant data from 1990 to 2013 as samples, the author uses OLS multiple regression to analyze the factors that affect China’s crude oil import trade. The results show that the world crude oil output, China’s gross domestic product and coal consumption in China are the major factors affecting China’s crude oil imports. Accordingly, put forward relevant suggestions.