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什么是经济预警系统呢?目前学者们对此还没有统一的认识。我们认为,简单地说,经济预警系统就是为预防经济运行过程中偏离正常发展轨道或危机建立的报警和实施系统。具体些说就是:根据预警经济学的基本原理,在占有经济发展大量历史资料的基础上,运用客观经济规律和自然规律,以经济发展的正常轨道和科学的预期目标为参照系,系统地分析那些影响、制约和偏离正常经济发展轨道的主客观因素,以便明确警情,找出警源,发出警兆,指出警戒线,预报警期,采取对策,防止将要发生的灾害或者把它减少到最低限度,为
What is the economic early warning system? At present, scholars do not yet have a unified understanding of this. In our opinion, to put it simply, the economic early warning system is an alarm and enforcement system established to prevent deviation from the normal development track or crisis during the economic operation. Specifically, according to the basic principles of early warning economics, based on a large amount of historical data of economic development, objective laws of economy and laws of nature are used to systematically analyze the normal orbit of economic development and the expected goals of science The subjective and objective factors that influence, constrain and deviate from the normal economic development track in order to clarify the warnings, identify the sources of warning, give warning signs, point out the warning line, pre-warning the period, take measures to prevent the disaster from happening or reduce it to At least, for