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消费信贷萎缩、失业率上升都将拖累美国经济,就业形势的恶化、政府过渡期财政刺激的缺失可能使得美国经济在明年一、二季度保持环比的收缩,预期明年头两个季度美国GDP环比折年率将分别收缩3%和1%。
The slump in consumer credit and the rise in unemployment will drag down the U.S. economy and the employment situation. The absence of a fiscal stimulus during the transitional period of the government may keep the U.S. economy contracting cyclically in the first and second quarters of next year. Annual rate will shrink by 3% and 1% respectively.