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本文基于产业发展阶段升级的历程,总结各阶段的经济增长特征,分析产业发展的趋势。在此基础上,提出对于中国的两点启示:一是中国工业化发展的阶段尚未全部完成,还需要通过工业化实现进一步的发展,但速度不可能再像前几十年那样快;二是必须借助现代服务业和现代信息业来提升制造业的层次,这样使得制造业对经济的增长能够起到延续的作用。
Based on the process of industrial development stage upgrade, this article summarizes the economic growth characteristics of each stage, analyzes the trend of industrial development. On this basis, we put forward two enlightenments to China: First, the stage of China’s industrialization development has not yet been fully completed and further development needs to be achieved through industrialization, but the speed can not be as fast as in previous decades; second, we must rely on Modern service industry and modern information industry to enhance the level of manufacturing, making the manufacturing sector can play a continuing economic growth.