洪灾对经济增长的负面影响有限

• 作 者: 荆理
• 出 处: 金融信息参考
• 发表日期: 1998年10期
• 关键词: 经济增长 国民财富 增长速度 地方配套资金 水利设施 商业企业 固定资产投资 水利建设 退田还湖 物质力量

洪灾对受灾地区的经济存量(即已经形成的国民财富)造成的损失和破坏以及对经济流量的不利影响是很明显的。但从另一方面分析,洪灾对流量即对经济增长的需求拉动的有利影响也是十分明显的。比如对抗洪救灾物资的需求,消耗了原来的库存,也带动了建材、冶金、医药、服装等相关产业的发展。

The devastating effects of flooding on the economic stock in the affected areas (ie, the already formed national wealth), as well as the adverse effects on economic flows, are evident. On the other hand, however, it is also evident that the favorable impact of floods on the demand for traffic, ie for economic growth, is also evident. For example, the demand for flood relief supplies consumes the original inventory, but also led to the development of related industries such as building materials, metallurgy, medicine, clothing and so on.