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2011年密集出台的调控政策已经对房地产市场产生了较大的影响,限购城市成交量普遍同比下降,房价下调的趋势已从一线城市向二线三线城市全面蔓延。房地产市场目前的调整符合政策预期,也符合行业的长远发展,但房地产的“硬着陆”必然会对经济造成系统性的风险。因此,实现房地产的“软着陆”将成为2012年政府宏观调控的重点。笔者认为,首先,2012年房地产调控政策将定向放松,并逐步完善制度的建设。预计调整包括:一是限购政策的调整。二是限价政策的调整。三是针对首套房的限贷政策做出调整。四是保障房更为注重竣工
The intensive control policies promulgated in 2011 have had a great impact on the real estate market. The volume of purchase in cities generally declines compared with the same period of last year. The downward trend of house prices has spread from first-tier cities to second-tier and third-tier cities. The current real estate market adjustment in line with policy expectations, but also in line with the long-term development of the industry, but the real estate “hard landing ” will inevitably cause systemic risks to the economy. Therefore, real estate “soft landing ” will become the focus of government macro-control in 2012. The author believes that, first of all, in 2012 the real estate control policies will be targeted to relax, and gradually improve the system. Expected adjustments include: First, the adjustment of the purchase policy. Second, the adjustment of price policy. The third is to adjust the loan limit policy for the first suite. Fourth, the protection of housing more focused on the completion