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我认为所谓拐点应该是房地产市场从上升到下降,或是下降幅度较大,持续周期较长。其实2008年的那次“跳水”都不算是拐点,时间太短,半年就扭转了。我一向认为房地产市场是稳定下调的过程,当稳定下调到一定程度,必然会把住宅泡沫挤出去。今年1～9月,全国房地产开发投资44225亿元,同比增长32%,全国商品房销售面积71289万平方米,增长12.9%。从交易量、销售额和平均房价这些数据上看,房地产市场并没有出现拐点,而是房地产内部进行了结构性调整,商品住宅的投资并没有大幅上升和下滑,但保障房和商业地产有一些分配给了房地产投资,所以投
I think the so-called inflection point should be from the real estate market rose to decline, or larger decline, longer duration. In fact, in 2008 that “diving” are not considered inflection point, the time is too short, half a year to reverse. I always think that the real estate market is a steady downward adjustment process. When the stability is lowered to a certain extent, it is bound to squeeze out the housing bubble. January to September this year, the national real estate development investment 4422500000000 yuan, grow 32% compared to the same period, the national commercial housing sales area of 712890000 square meters, an increase of 12.9%. From the transaction volume, sales and average housing prices of these data point of view, the real estate market and there is no inflection point, but the real estate within the structural adjustment, investment in commercial housing did not rise and decline sharply, but the protection of housing and commercial real estate have some Allotted to the real estate investment, so vote