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【宏观经济】预计7月CPI在6.1~6.3区间食品价格在7月前两周,周环比增速呈连续收窄态势。商务部13日数据显示,7月4日~7月10日食用农产品价格小幅上涨,蔬菜、水产品价格基本持平,水果价格下降。值得注意的是,在6月直接推动食品价格上涨的猪肉价格在7月前两周涨幅趋缓。据新华社监测数据,7月10日以后猪肉价格出现两日小幅回落,分析其原因有三:(1)气温持续升高以及肉价高企导致部分终端需求出现回落;(2)政府动用猪肉储备干预市场的结果;(3)政府部门关注猪肉涨价,国务院出台补贴能繁母猪等5项措施对市场预期产生一定影响。这种回落的出现是猪肉价格高位企稳的初步迹象,但是否能持续有待观察。整体
Macroeconomic】 【July CPI is expected in the 6.1 to 6.3 range of food prices in the first two weeks of July, the weekly chain growth was continuously narrowed trend. Ministry of Commerce on the 13th data show that July 4 ~ July 10 edible agricultural products prices rose slightly, vegetables, aquatic products prices were basically flat, fruit prices fell. It is worth noting that the price of pork, which directly pushed up food prices in June, slowed down in the first two weeks of July. According to the Xinhua News Agency monitoring data, after July 10, the pork price dropped slightly for two days. There are three reasons for the analysis: (1) the continuous rise in the temperature and the high meat price led to the drop in some terminal demand; (2) Market results; (3) government departments concerned about pork prices, the State Council introduced subsidies to sows and other measures to 5 market expectations have a certain impact. This decline is the first sign of the stabilization of pork prices, but it remains to be seen. overall