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从9月和前三季度的经济金融数据来看,中国经济和金融的宏观调控成效日益显现出来。但是,仍然存在着贸易顺差的压力,以及信贷和固定资产投资反弹的压力。因此,央行11月3日年内第三次提高存款准备金率,以巩固宏观调控成果。我们预计,在稳健的货币政策指导下,央行仍然会根据市场情况,有预见性地采取措施收紧流动性,甚至加息以防止信贷和固定资产投资的反弹。一、宏观调控成效日益显现(一)国内生产总值(GDP)增速高位回落2005年中国经济 GDP 增长率达10.2%,今年第一季
Judging from the economic and financial data in September and the first three quarters, the macro-control effect of China’s economy and finance has become increasingly evident. However, there is still pressure to trade surpluses and the rebound in credit and fixed-asset investment. Therefore, the central bank raised the deposit reserve ratio for the third time on November 3 to consolidate the results of macroeconomic regulation and control. We expect that under the guidance of prudent monetary policies, the central bank will still adopt predictable measures to tighten liquidity according to the market conditions and even raise interest rates to prevent a rebound in credit and fixed-asset investment. First, the effectiveness of macro-control is increasingly apparent (a) gross domestic product (GDP) high growth rate down In 2005 China’s economic GDP growth rate reached 10.2% in the first quarter of this year