论文部分内容阅读
2010年年初,研究机构的一致判断是2010年中国物价的形态是中间高两头低,但实际运行情况是一路上涨,尤其是从8月份之后,物价上涨的趋势逐渐加强,11月份的CPI涨幅超过了5%。但很多分析将物价的超预期归结为农产品的价格上涨,并进一步将农产品的价格上涨归结为恶劣的天气。换句话说,恶劣的天气过程结束后,农产品价格就会回到正常的水平,一切回到正常的轨道。如果上述分析正确,则治理当前的物价上涨就不应该使用货币政策,应该使用财政政策,通过增加对农业的投入来
At the beginning of 2010, the unanimous judgment of the research institutes was that in 2010 the price of Chinese goods was in the middle and low positions but its actual operation went up all the time. Especially since August, the price inflation trend has been gradually strengthened. The CPI rose more than that in November 5%. However, many analysts attribute the expectation of prices to rising prices of agricultural products and further attribute the price hikes of agricultural products to bad weather. In other words, after the bad weather is over, the prices of agricultural products will return to their normal levels and everything will return to normal orbit. If the above analysis is correct, then the current price increases should not be used to control monetary policy, fiscal policy should be used, by increasing investment in agriculture to