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长期看,美国页岩气革命后,美国本国原油量大增,其从中东等地的进口已大幅降低;而中国原油进口量仍在增加,因此中国肯定将成为世界原油最大的进口国。我国原油进口走势比较稳定,不到8%的增长与我国经济增速差不多,处在一个合理区间。尽管经济放缓,中国的原油进口预计仍将维持强劲,这将对全球石油和大宗商品市场产生深远的影响。相较于进口较少的国家,低油价对中国无疑是个大利好。国际石油市场的变化,不仅使中国对中东国家而言更加重要,而且
In the long run, after the shale gas revolution in the United States, the domestic oil volume in the United States has risen sharply. Its import from the Middle East and elsewhere has dropped drastically. While the import of crude oil in China is still on the rise, China will surely become the largest importer of crude oil in the world. China’s crude oil import trend is relatively stable, less than 8% growth and economic growth in China is about the same, in a reasonable range. Despite the economic slowdown, China’s crude oil imports are expected to remain strong, which will have a profound impact on the global oil and commodity markets. Compared to less imported countries, low oil prices in China is undoubtedly a good news. The changes in the international oil market not only make China more important to the Middle East countries, but also