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According to the trajectory characteristics of ballistic missile, a reduced parameter model is constructed based on difference between telemetry trajectory and trajectory tracking data. By virtue of Bayesian theory and data fusion technique, a new test evaluation method is put forth, which can make full use of the trajectory tracking data, shooting range test data and relevant information. Since the impact point can be derived from trajectory difference and its kinetic characteristics, evaluation of the impact point is a special case of this method. The accurate evaluation and the accuracy of evaluation results can be provided by the new method.
According to the trajectory characteristics of ballistic missile, a reduced parameter model is constructed based on difference between telemetry trajectory and trajectory tracking data. By virtue of Bayesian theory and data fusion technique, a new test evaluation method is put forth, which can make full use of the trajectory tracking data, shooting range test data and relevant information. Since the impact point can be derived from trajectory difference and its kinetic characteristics, evaluation of the impact point is a special case of this method. results can be provided by the new method.