论文部分内容阅读
自1970年以来,中国的生育率开始明显下降,加上社会经济的快速发展延长了人口的平均预期寿命,导致人口的年龄结构急剧变化,从而对社会保障尤其是养老金的支出带来了极大的影响和挑战。本文根据人口结构理论和柯布一道格拉斯生产函数,归纳出老龄化程度和养老金合理支出的定量模型,针对人口老龄化程度与养老金支出的关系作了定量的测算和分析,结果表明:我国的养老保障支出方面存在明显的不足和滞后,现实的养老金支出水平仍然略低于合理范围。为此,本文提出相应的政策探讨。
Since 1970, the marked decline in fertility in China has taken place. Coupled with the rapid socio-economic development, which has prolonged the average life expectancy of the population and led to a drastic change in the age structure of the population, which has brought a heavy burden on social security, especially pensions Big impact and challenge According to population structure theory and Cobb-Douglas production function, this paper summarizes the quantitative model of the degree of aging and the reasonable expenditure of pension, and makes a quantitative calculation and analysis of the relationship between the degree of population aging and pension expenditure. The results show that: There are obvious deficiencies and lag in spending on old-age security, and the actual level of pension expenditure is still slightly below the reasonable range. For this reason, this article puts forward the corresponding policy discussion.