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本文以系统科学的自组织理论为基础,提出了一种与地震预报有关的新概念和理论推断。地壳运动与蕴震系统是一个向目的环和目的点演进的自组织系统,有可能通过前兆场的减熵和有序演进来寻求这一系统的序参量。 通过对中国大陆二十年来的大尺度形变和泛形变慢变化的“低频动态前兆场”的研究、某些大地震前中尺度的“高频动态前兆场”的研究以及与岩石破裂实验变形前兆的对比,初步证实了本文所提出的概念和理论推断的正确性。
Based on the self-organization theory of system science, this paper proposes a new concept and theoretical inference related to earthquake prediction. The crustal movement and seismotectonic system is a self-organizing system that evolves towards the target ring and the target point. It is possible to seek the order parameter of this system through entropy reduction and ordered evolution of the precursor field. Through the study of “low-frequency dynamic precursor fields” of large-scale deformation and slow-changing geomorphology in mainland China over the past 20 years, the study of mesoscale “high-frequency dynamic precursor fields” before some major earthquakes and the correlation between the precursors The comparison proves the correctness of the concepts and theoretical inferences proposed in this paper.