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如果希腊倒掉,挨枪子的会是其他国家。如果有人能够把欧债对各国经济可能有的实际影响用数学模式精密地抽象出来的话,会发现目前市场对欧债危机的反应大大超出了科学分析的结论。不过,全球投资者的心理反应以及人们把危机前经济格局作为经济恢复标准的预期,把世界各国的经济都同欧债危机捆绑在一起。世界经济到今天已经演化为证券化的经济。市场夸大的反应,至少在短期内对经济的
If Greece is drained, the rest of the world will be shot at. If one can accurately abstract the possible impact of the European debt on the economies of various countries in a mathematical model, we can find that the current market response to the European debt crisis has far exceeded the conclusions of scientific analysis. However, the psychological reactions of investors around the world and the expectation that the pre-crisis economic pattern is the standard for economic recovery have tied the economies of all countries together with the debt crisis in Europe. The world economy has evolved into a securitized economy today. The market exaggerated the reaction, at least in the short term, to the economy