林毅夫:中国仍有潜力持续高增长

• 作 者: 高艳平
• 出 处: 社会观察
• 发表日期: 2012年12期
• 关键词: 东亚经济体 发展水平 结构经济学 亚洲四小龙 社会观察 增长力 经济增长速度 经济增长 包容性增长 后发

目前中国和发达国家发展水平的差距,相当于日本在上世纪50年代初以及亚洲四小龙60年代末、70年代初与西方的差距。上述东亚经济体,在和我国相同的发展水平上都维持了20年8%-9%的年均增长。改革开放以后,我国的发展路径和它们相同,因此,可断定我国还有20年维持8%增长的潜力。

At present, the gap between the development level of China and that of developed countries is equivalent to the gap between Japan and the West in the early 1950s in the 1950s and the four dragons in Asia in the late 1960s and early 1970s. The above East Asian economies maintained an average annual growth of 8% -9% in 20 years at the same level of development as our own. After the reform and opening up, our development path is the same as that for them. Therefore, we can conclude that there is still 20 years of potential for our country to maintain the growth of 8%.