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2002年的前三季度,中国经济总量(GDP)实现71682亿元,比去年同期增长7.9％,比预期要好。但对于大部分老百姓而言,他们的收入增长率并不与宏观经济增长率保持同步。那么,为什么会有“数字和感觉的矛盾错觉”呢?这里要谈到一点我们的“特别国情”:那就是“有效劳动人口”变动的因素。换句话说,就是增长错觉的根源在于我们忽略了个体与总体的差别。 我们举个例子来说明一下。比如,某个国家共有10个“有效劳动人口”,每人年平均收入为2万元,这个国家的年度GDP就是20万元。第二年,由于这个国家
In the first three quarters of 2002, China’s total economic output reached 7,168.2 billion yuan, up 7.9% over the same period of last year, which was better than expected. But for most people, their income growth rate does not keep pace with the macroeconomic growth rate. So, why there is “the illusion of contradiction between numbers and feelings”? Here to talk about our “special national conditions”: that is, “effective workforce” changes in the factors. In other words, the root cause of growth delusion is that we ignore the difference between the individual and the whole. Let us give an example to explain. For example, a country has a total of 10 “effective working population,” with an average annual income of 20,000 yuan. The country’s annual GDP is 200,000 yuan. The second year, due to this country