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住房价格变化不仅对区际产业结构产生影响,而且对区域工业内部结构产生影响,而这一点较少被触及。本文以包含房价的CP模型为基础,运用2001-2011年中国36个大中城市41个工业行业的相关数据,考察房价变动对资本密集型和劳动密集型行业调整的影响。研究发现:从短期看,房价上涨对劳动密集型行业有促进作用,对资本密集型行业有抑制作用;从长期看,这两种效应刚好相反。分区域来看,东部地区与全国变化趋势一致,中西部地区无论长短期,房价上涨都对劳动密集型产业有促进作用,对资本密集型产业有抑制作用。
Housing price changes not only have an impact on the inter-regional industrial structure, but also affect the internal structure of the regional industry, which is seldom touched. Based on the CP model with housing prices, this paper uses data from 41 industries in 36 large and medium-sized cities of China from 2001 to 2011 to examine the impact of housing price changes on capital-intensive and labor-intensive industries. The study found that: in the short run, rising house prices can promote labor-intensive industries and inhibit capital-intensive industries; in the long run, the two effects are just the opposite. In the subregion, the trend of the east is consistent with that of the whole country. Both the short and long term housing prices in the central and western regions will promote the labor-intensive industries and inhibit the capital-intensive industries.