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分析2012年黑龙江省玉米市场,预计2012年黑龙江省玉米产量同比增加9.1%,创历史新高;每公顷种植玉米纯收益4329.45元,较2011年减少358.20元,减幅达7.64%;2012年前3个季度,黑龙江省玉米市场收购价格持续上升,至9月达到2326.25元/t,较2012年初涨幅达14.35%,之后受季节性压力影响,玉米价格出现大幅回落,11月中旬在国家出台最低保护价收储政策后,奠定了玉米市场底部,市场价格较为平稳。展望2013年,种植面积将继续扩大,玉米增产潜力仍在,市场供需矛盾或将得以缓解,但由于存在刚性需求,对价格支撑作用还是很明显,但价格反弹空间不大。
Analysis of the corn market in Heilongjiang Province in 2012 shows that the output of maize in Heilongjiang Province in 2012 is expected to increase by 9.1% from the same period of last year, reaching a record high; net income per hectare of corn planting 4329.45 yuan, a decrease of 358.20 yuan over 2011, a decrease of up to 7.64%; 2012 3 In a quarter, the purchase price of corn in Heilongjiang Province continued to rise, reaching 2326.25 yuan / t in September, up 14.35% from the beginning of 2012. After that, due to the seasonal pressure, corn prices dropped sharply and in mid-November, minimum protection was introduced in the country Price collection and storage policy, laid the bottom of the corn market, the market price is relatively stable. Looking forward to 2013, the planting area will continue to expand. The potential for increasing corn production will still be there. The contradiction between supply and demand in the market will be eased. However, due to the rigid demand, the price support effect is still obvious. However, there is not much room for price rebound.