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我们预测,黄金市场牛市征程将在虎年止步,整体与2009年基本持平,新一年行情仍可能呈现“两头高,中间低”形态,大趋势则有望前高后低。2009年黄金市场延续了2000年以来的十年牛市征程,强势特征明显,特别是2009年第四季度,黄金市场更是演绎了一波“狂牛”行情。在2009年的不同阶段,影响黄金价格走势的主导因素不断发生变化,避险、通胀预期、美元、投资需求等几个主导因素实时转换,金价在这些
We predict that the bull market in the gold market will be halted in the Year of the Tiger and the overall level will be basically the same as in 2009. The market may still exhibit the pattern of “highs of two ends and intermediate ones” in the new year and the trend of highs and lows is expected to prevail in the big market. In 2009, the gold market lasted 10 years of bull market journey since 2000, and the strong characteristics were obvious. Especially in the fourth quarter of 2009, the gold market performed a wave of “mad cow” market. In different stages of 2009, the dominant factors that affect the trend of the gold price keep changing. Several dominant factors such as hedging, inflation expectations, the U.S. dollar and investment demand are converted in real time. The gold price is in these