论文部分内容阅读
法定报告传染病发病资料,主要来自医疗单位的疫情报告,由于疫情报告存在漏报(诊)现象,因此报告数据不能反映一个地区传染病发病的真实情况.为此,大多采用居民传染病漏报调查来弥补疫情报告,但由于调查也存在一些不足,如人群见面率低、遗忘、否认病史等,居民传染病漏报调查获取的发病率也不能完全反映出一个人群的实际发病水平.现试用俘获一再俘获法(Capture-recapture,CR),将医院疫情报告与居民传染病调查资料结合起来,以弥补二者各自的不足,估计当地居民的发病水平,并对传统调查方法的病例收集完整程度进行评价.
The statutory report on the incidence of infectious diseases, mainly from the medical unit of the epidemic report, due to the reporting of the epidemic omission (diagnosis), so the report data does not reflect the real situation of a regional infectious disease.To this end, Investigation to make up for the epidemic report, but due to the investigation there are some shortcomings, such as the crowd to meet the low rate, forgotten, denied medical history, residents infectious disease omissions reported the incidence of access can not fully reflect the actual incidence of a population. Capture-recapture (CR) was combined with hospital outbreak reports and infectious diseases survey data to make up for their respective deficiencies, to assess the incidence of local residents, and to collect the complete extent of the cases of traditional survey methods Evaluation.