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虽然经历了20世纪90年代的长期繁荣,但美国新经济依然逃不出经济周期规律的手掌心,2000年下半年进入了调整期。而9.11事件的发生以及不知哪天爆发的“美伊战争”等,又大大加强了美国经济发展的不确定性。今年前三个季度,美国经济的增长也是忽上忽下,并不平稳。由于美国经济作为世界经济火车头的地位依然存在,再加上日本经济长期萧条、欧洲经济问题成堆,使得人们对世界经济的前景有些担忧,产生了各种不同的说法与预测。中国经济同世界经济的联系越来越紧密,这就使得我们必须要关注世界经济的发展。与其他国家(地区)相比,中国经济今年很有光彩点,但这其中的原因也很耐人寻味。我们为中国经济的高增长率而欢喜,同时也必须看到,中国经济发展中的矛盾、存在的问题,是个环环相扣的连环结,打开它太不容易了……本栏目主持人对中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副所长李向阳研究员进行了一个多小时的访谈。下面的文字根据同李所长的谈话整理而成。——主持人手记
Although it experienced long-term prosperity in the 1990s, the new economy of the United States still can not escape the palm of the law of the economic cycle and entered a period of adjustment in the second half of 2000. However, the 9.11 incident and the “U.S.-Iraq war” that some day broke out have greatly intensified the uncertainty of the U.S. economic development. The first three quarters of this year saw the growth of the U.S. economy also fluctuate up and down and are not stable. As the United States economy remains as the locomotive of the world economy, coupled with the long-term sluggish economy in Japan and the piles of economic problems in Europe, people have some concerns about the world economic outlook and have come up with various opinions and predictions. China’s economy is getting closer and closer to the world economy, which makes us have to pay attention to the development of world economy. Compared with other countries (regions), the Chinese economy is very glamorous this year, but the reasons for this are also very intriguing. We are happy for the high growth rate of China’s economy. We must also see that the contradictions and problems in China’s economic development are interlocking knots. It is not easy to open it ... Researcher Li Xiangyang, deputy director of the Institute of World Economics and Politics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, conducted an hour-long interview. The following text is based on the conversation with director Li. - Host Notes