论文部分内容阅读
一、“十二五”期间经济增长率将维持在8%左右从各国历史经验看,随着人均GDP不断增长,GDP增长率呈下降趋势。目前,我国人均GDP为4000美元左右,预计“十二五”期间会达到4000～8000美元。从其他国家经验看,我国“十二五”期间的GDP增长率可能维持在8%左右的水平。在2016～2020年的“十三五”期间,由于我国经济结构的调整,经济增长率可能会回落到6%～8%之间。同时,我国经济发展中的结构性矛盾已日益严重。2009年,我国的私人消费占GDP的
I. Economic growth rate during the “12th Five-Year Plan” period will be maintained at around 8%. Judging from the historical experiences of various countries, with the continuous growth of per capita GDP, the GDP growth rate is on a downward trend. At present, China’s per capita GDP is about 4,000 U.S. dollars and it is estimated that it will reach 4,000 to 8,000 U.S. dollars during the “12th Five-Year Plan” period. Judging from the experience of other countries, the GDP growth rate of China during the “12th Five-Year Plan” may be maintained at a level of about 8%. During the “13th Five-Year Plan” period from 2016 to 2020, due to the adjustment of China’s economic structure, the economic growth rate may drop to between 6% and 8%. At the same time, the structural contradictions in China’s economic development have become increasingly serious. In 2009, China’s private consumption accounted for GDP