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在对一些基本影响因素作出 不同假设的基础上，我们运 用动态的可计算一般均衡模型，模拟了未来２０年中国经济发展的可能情景．目的在于揭示和澄清影响未来经济增长和发展的基本因素， （ｌ）人口和劳动力的变动 中国劳动年龄人口比重上升的趋势将保持到２０１０年，最高达到
Based on different assumptions about some basic influencing factors, we use the dynamic general equilibrium model to simulate the possible scenarios of China’s economic development in the next 20 years. The purpose is to reveal and clarify the basic factors that will affect the future economic growth and development, (l) Population and labor movements The upward trend in the proportion of the working-age population in China will remain high until 2010