论文部分内容阅读
2006年我国消费价格指数呈温和小幅上涨态势,其他价格指数运行也都有较好的表现,但经济内部的一些结构性矛盾尚未得到有效缓解, 2007年物价上涨的推动力将大于下降的压力。CPI先行合成指数显示:2007年物价上涨的可能性较大,计量模型预测显示居民消费价格指数、工业品出厂价格指数和生产资料价格指教分别上涨约2．50％、3．48％和8．66％。
However, some structural contradictions in the economy have not yet been effectively alleviated. In 2007, the impetus for rising prices will be greater than the downward pressure. In 2006, China’s consumer price index showed a slight upward trend. Other price indices also performed well. However, some structural contradictions in the economy have not been effectively alleviated. The CPI leading composite index shows that there is a high possibility of price increases in 2007 and the econometric model predicts a rise of about 2.50%, 3.48% and 8 respectively in the consumer price index, producer price index and means of production index. 66%.