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文章运用2006年至2010年的数据实证分析表明:(1)中国对美国的贸易顺差每增加1%,会相应提高日本对中国的贸易顺差0.26%,进一步证实了中日之间贸易的互补性;(2)国际大宗商品价格是影响人民币实际有效汇率的重要因素,而对日元实际有效汇率影响却较弱;(3)国际大宗商品价格对中日两国的物价指数都具有很强的影响力,除此之外,美元流动性对中国物价指数还有一定的影响,但对日本物价指数的影响较弱。
Empirical analysis of the data from 2006 to 2010 shows that: (1) Each 1% increase in China’s trade surplus with the United States will correspondingly increase Japan’s trade surplus with China by 0.26%, further confirming the complementarity of trade between China and Japan ; (2) the international commodity price is an important factor affecting the real effective exchange rate of RMB, while the impact on the real effective exchange rate of the yen is weaker; (3) the international commodity prices are very strong for both China and Japan’s price indices Influence, in addition, the dollar liquidity on the Chinese price index still have some influence, but the impact on the Japanese price index is weak.