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由于2005年4季度经济平稳回落,钢材需求增幅也明显回落;而新产能投产的资源压力和出口困难,使我国今后钢材市场走势仍然面临很大的下行压力。影响2006年中国钢材市场未来走势的三大主要因素:一是2006年经济发展对钢材需求拉动的影响;二是国际市场变化对进出口的影响;三是新产能高峰期对钢材市场供需演变趋势的压力短期难以消化。(一)关于明年经济运行态势的基本分析及对钢材市场需求的影响把握2006年经济发展对钢材需求的影响,需要把握三个重点。一是许多矛盾的积累,使经济较快
Due to the stable economic slowdown in 4Q2005, the growth of steel demand also dropped significantly. However, the resource pressure and export difficulties of new capacity production put China’s steel market under downward pressure in the future. The three main factors affecting the future trend of China’s steel market in 2006 are as follows: First, the impact of economic development on steel demand in 2006; second, the impact of changes in international markets on imports and exports; third, the trend of supply and demand in the steel market during the peak of new production capacity The pressure is difficult to digest in the short term. (I) Basic Analysis of the Economic Situation in Next Year and Its Impact on the Demand of Steel Market To grasp the impact of economic development on the demand for steel in 2006, three key points need to be grasped. First, the accumulation of many contradictions, so that the economy faster