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热点城市地方政府对房地产市场在“9.30新政”之前基本采取消极调控,“9.30新政”之后,热点城市地方政府行为骤变,开始积极调控;非热点城市则一直在挣扎着去库存。存在的主要问题包括:土地财政依赖构成了“9.30新政”能否持续的威胁、非热点城市去库存依然艰难、地方政府土地财政持续承压、政府干预透支房地产未来需求。未来,应该进一步完善中央政府对地方政府调控主体责任的监管机制、调整央地财政关系、改变现有的土地拍卖制度、完善保障房供应机制。
Local governments in hot spots basically adopted negative regulation and control before the “9.30 New Deal” in the real estate market. After the “9.30 New Deal,” local governments in hot cities suddenly changed their behavior and began to actively regulate. Non-hot cities were struggling to go to inventory . The main problems are: the financial dependence of land constitutes a threat to sustainable development of the “9.30 New Deal.” It is still difficult for non-hot cities to go to stockpile, land and finance of local governments continue to be under pressure, and the government intervenes in the future demand for overdraft real estate. In the future, the central government should further improve the regulatory mechanism governing the responsibility of local governments as the main body of regulation and control, adjust the fiscal relations between the central and local governments, change the existing land auction system, and improve the supply mechanism for affordable housing.