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应用逻辑斯蒂(或哈伯特)产量模型和双对数产量模型对两个油田的年产油量和累积产油量进行了预测和比较,结果表明,双对数模型可对油气田整个开发阶段的产量进行预测,同时还可以预测油气田的可采储量,其预测精度要明显高于逻辑斯蒂(单对数)模型。应用表明,双对数模型是目前预测油气田产量中比较好的一种预测模型。
Using the Logistic (or Hubbert) production model and the double logarithmic production model, the annual oil production and cumulative oil production of both oil fields are predicted and compared. The results show that the double logarithm model can be applied to the entire development of oil and gas fields Stage of the production forecast, but also can predict recoverable reserves of oil and gas fields, the prediction accuracy is significantly higher than the Logistic (single logarithm) model. Application shows that the double logarithm model is a good prediction model for predicting oil and gas field output.