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借鉴三元边际的分析方法,将我国2003至2012年间装备制造业SITC四分位的双边出口额分解为广度边际、数量边际和价格边际,以此探究我国装备制造业出口增长的带动因素.非参数估计的实证结果发现,十年间中国装备制造业产品的世界份额复合增速为9.87%,这主要得益于我国出口产品的种类全面(广度边际高),并且数量边际、价格边际分别在2008年金融危机前、后起到主要的带动作用.对我国66个主要出口国的三元分解也支持了上述结论.最后将中国与美国、德国、日本、印度和巴西的三元分解结果相比较.
Drawing on the method of ternary marginal analysis, this dissertation divides the bilateral exports of SITC quartiles in equipment manufacturing industry into the breadth marginal, the quantitative marginalities and the price margins from 2003 to 2012 in order to explore the driving factors of China’s equipment manufacturing export growth. The empirical results of parameter estimation show that the world compound annual growth rate of China’s equipment manufacturing industry is 9.87%, mainly due to the comprehensive types of export products (high marginality) and the quantitative marginal and price margins in 2008 This has played a leading role before and after the financial crisis, and the above conclusion is supported by the ternary decomposition of 66 major exporting countries in China.Finally, the result of ternary decomposition between China and the United States, Germany, Japan, India and Brazil is compared .